Nov 27, 2025
3 min read
A year after a ceasefire between Israel and the Shiite group Hezbollah took effect, Israeli forces have stepped up attacks "raising fears that their focus will shift to Lebanon after the Gaza ceasefire," experts say.
Lebanon's first year of ceasefire ends with more than 2,000 Israeli attacks and 127 civilian deaths
The cease-fire between Israel and the Lebanese group Hizbollah was broken last year, but the attacks of Israel have not been since last week, but also against the targets of the land of Shiine Haman.
The organization Armed Conflict Location & Event Data (ACLED) counted more than 2,200 attacks between November 27, 2024 (the date hostilities ended) and the middle of this month, and almost half of them were air strikes.ACLED highlighted the intensity of the attacks last October, which "increased the fear that Israel could shift its attention to Lebanon after the agreement to cease fire in Gaza" on October 10.
According to the United Nations (UN) High Commissioner for Human Rights, Israeli attacks in Lebanon have killed at least 127 civilians and damaged or destroyed civilian infrastructure, including homes, roads and factories, since the ceasefire took effect.The ongoing violence has driven more than 64,000 people from their towns in southern Arabia, where they fled when Israeli forces attacked in October 2024.It leaves Lebanon.
Last Sunday, Israel bombed the southern suburbs of Israel last year killed himself along with Tabatabai, four other people died, according to Lebanese health officials.Thirty people were injured.
The international world is leaving the Lebanese government in such a difficult situation that it cannot protect its people
In response to the attack and showing its desperation, the Arab country's President Joseph Aoun called for international intervention to prevent Israel from further escalating tensions: "Lebanon, which has adhered to the cessation of hostilities for almost a year and has made one initiative after another, reiterates its call on the international community to assume its responsibility and intervene decisively and seriously to stop the attacks on Lebanon and its people."
For his part, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu defended the attack on Hezbollah's number two and assured that Israel would not allow the Shiite militia to "gain strength" and "do not pose a threat" to Israel.The government and its military said that if Hezbollah takes the Lebanese-Israeli border and the area, if they don't leave the area and if they don't give up the area and they don't give up the river at all, then they won't leave the area.
A UN peacekeeping mission in Lebanon has been deployed in the region, and in its operations alone, it recorded about 10,000 ceasefire violations last year (7,500 with nearly 2,500 planes on the ground).
Many attacks and threats
Jean Kasir, Lebanon's Middle East expert for Arch East Policy, characterized Arshbolla's leaders as determined to move forward.
The government of Lebanon and the army at the beginning of the country will correct the government of Lisbon and it is officially confirmed that the Shiite movement has entered Washington.
"Despite the government's declaration that it will monopolize the use of weapons and openly begin disarming Hezbollah, Israel has neither demonstrated goodwill nor reduced its attacks," says an analyst at the Washington Institute.The Lebanese army is fulfilling its end of the bargain, occupying positions south of the Litani River and demanding weapons, but "in a very difficult situation and with little room for maneuver," Qusayr says.
Although the government has shown the use of weapons and began to humiliate Hezbollah, there have been no signs of goodwill from Israel or reduced attacks.
In mid-October, the head of the United States military, lancaan, and unifil succeeded in experiencing 10,000 roks, and more than 15,000 southern luku /
However, KASSir points out, the international community leaves the Lebanese government in a backward situation, where it cannot protect the people and obtain the right to monopolize weapons."The face of the smell of weapons."Benefits of using Scami." Experts add that in this situation, some citizens may think that there is no alternative for Hezlollah against the background of Israeli aggression, despite the fact that many parts of Lebanon.
"The government is being asked to withdraw [Hezbollah's] weapons, without guaranteeing that Israel will stop its attacks," he added, adding to the violation of guarantees and the complexity of a number of institutional, economic and political problems."It is dangerous and dangerous," Kassir warned Beirut.
While the expert stops short of predicting whether Israel will launch another large-scale attack on Lebanon, he says there are "signs" that the small Mediterranean country is heading for an escalation based on "what the Israelis have threatened in recent weeks."
An Inexperienced Army Against Israel
The ceasefire, which took effect on November 27, 2024, ends more than a year of conflict that left 4,000 dead, 4,000 injured and 1.2 million displaced in Lebanon.The illegal and impoverished organizations were unable to rebuild the buildings destroyed by the Israelis and did not have the capacity to support the affected people.Now they are doing everything to avoid a new and powerful war.Trying to be evaluated.
In Lebanon's Independence Day speech on November 22, President Aoun called on Israel to withdraw from the five positions Israel maintains on Lebanese soil, but is at peace with its neighbor, which has invaded Lebanon several times in recent decades and declared war several times.Requested.
AAUN is aware of the military's weaknesses (he served as an army officer before he was elected president in January 2025) and the UCC, although the numbers are high, is due to the fact that there are Palestinian millions living in Palestine, due to American pressure.
The government is being asked to withdraw [Hezbollah's] weapons without any guarantee that Israel will stop its attacks.
The authorities in Beirut want to prevent Israel from having an excuse to continue attacking Lebanese soil, as it has done since the beginning of the genocide in Gaza.The intensive airstrikes on Stryp that began on October 7, 2023 caused a rapid reaction by Hezbollah, which started launching rockets into Israeli territory the very next day, thus trying to divert the attention and resources of the Israeli army.
The deadliest attack carried out by Israel during the ceasefire was against the Palestinian camp of Ain el Helu in the southern city of Sidon.which according to information from the United NationsThirteen people died, including 11 children.
Israel's military said at the time it had hit "a military complex used by Hamas terrorists to train tactics for planning and carrying out terrorist attacks," without providing evidence.For its part, Hamas has denied the accusations, saying the target was a public sports hall in Ein el Helu, "frequented by the youth of the camp and known to all its residents", and said the victims were a group of young people with no links to the Islamist movement.
This is not the first time that Israel has struck alleged Hamas targets in Lebanon, where the group has a definite presence and whose militias have refused to hand over their weapons to the Lebanese army, for now.In January 2024, number two was killed in an Israeli bombing of the Hamas political office in Beirut.It was the assassination of the Islamist movement's top official on Lebanese soil, following election attacks that killed its top political leader Ismail Haniyeh in July 2024 in the Iranian capital.According to ACLED, Israel has carried out more than 40 attacks against Palestinian factions in Lebanon since October 2023.
